How Do I Know if a Line on a Game is Correct?

Written by:
Guest
Published on:
Nov/06/2017

A line on a game is deemed correct without any shading if the calculations from weekly updated power ratings total accurately. 

Variations are typically a result of injuries or consistent recent trends. 

In a 2017 Week 10 game, the San Francisco 49ers were dealing with a series of injuries, among them, FS Jaquiski Tartt (arm) and TE Cole Hikutini (knee) on injured reserve.

Taking on the Giants, the newly updated power ratings would indicate a PICK’EM or maybe a -1 with either team favored.  Indeed, San Francisco opened at -1.  This line would be considered correct.

A marquee might be a game such as the Saints vs. Bills.  The power ratings have New Orleans as a firm -2.  The line did open with New Orleans -2.5, again pretty much on the money.

The Cowboys vs. Falcons line should be a  PICK’EM or -1 favoring Atlanta.

Here we have a bit of shading up to two full points.  These are the types of games we like to consider the shading and the idea that Dallas stands a better than 50% chance of covering the spread.  Perhaps Atlanta wins by two points or the Cowboys win outright. 

Large shades of 3 points or more should be avoided as there are often underlying reasons (the aforementioned injuries and historic trends).

- Mary Montgomery, Gambling911.com

Gambling News

Vegas Gambling Revenue Hits All Time Low

Generating $26 billion in total revenue, Nevada gaming regulators say it is a new record low for Vegas.

ThePOGG releases Affiliate Program Value Report 2017

ThePOGG.com is proud to announce their affiliate program value report for 2017. The purpose of the report is to share with the webmaster community and gain an insight as to which affiliate programs perform the best and ones that are below average.

One Dead After Casino Boat Goes Up in Flames

One Dead After Casino Shuttle Boat Goes Up in Flames: 50 Passengers Forced to Jump

A casino company said Monday it never had a problem with the shuttle boat that erupted in flames off Florida’s Gulf Coast, leading to the death of a female passenger.

Two Men Plead Guilty in Case Involving Wiretapping of Poker Pro's Phones

Two Men Plead Guilty in Case Involving Wiretapping of Poker Pro's Phones

Two man charged with running online sports betting ring and operating illegal poker games

Lawmakers to Justice Department: Keep Online Gambling Legal

Lawmakers to Justice Department: Keep Online Gambling Legal

Associated Press - Federal lawmakers who represent New Jersey from both parties have asked the U.S. Justice Department to keep internet gambling legal.

Syndicate